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How Nations Are Scaling Up Munitions Production for Ukraine.
According to information published by the US DoD on January 10, 2025, in response to the ongoing conflict sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the international community has intensified efforts to meet Ukraine’s defense needs through enhanced munitions production.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr O. Zelenskyy visited the Scranton Army Ammunition Plant in Pennsylvania, where Rich Hansen, the commander's representative, guided him through the facility. (Picture source: US DoD)
Global defense industries have made substantial strides in scaling up the production of munitions. The United States has committed $5.5 billion to boost domestic manufacturing capabilities, resulting in dramatic increases in the production of essential munitions and platforms. For example, monthly output of 155mm projectiles has risen from 14,400 to 40,000 units, representing a 178% increase. Other key systems, such as HIMARS and PAC-3 MSE missiles, have also seen significant production expansions to meet both current and long-term demands.
European nations have equally stepped up their contributions. France and Sweden have announced plans to double their capacity for ammunition and explosive loading by 2025, while Germany and other European countries are establishing new facilities to produce up to 700,000 artillery shells annually by 2025. In Romania, a new gunpowder factory funded through a European Commission project is set to enhance the continent's supply chain further.
Collaborative efforts extend beyond Europe, with initiatives like the Czech-led €1.7 billion consortium to source 500,000 artillery rounds globally by the end of 2024. The European defense industry’s Act in Support of Ammunition Production (ASAP) aims to increase annual ammunition shell production to 2 million units by 2025, covering critical components such as explosives, powders, and testing.
Ukraine’s domestic defense industry has also seen remarkable growth. The country has increased its annual production of mortar and artillery ammunition from 1 million to 2.5 million rounds in just one year. International partnerships, such as those between Ukraine and companies like Northrop Grumman, Rheinmetall, and the Colt CZ Group, are further driving co-production efforts. These collaborations include the establishment of ammunition factories, maintenance centers, and production lines for critical defense components.
Scaling up munitions production for Ukraine has revealed several significant challenges, underscoring the complexities of rapidly increasing defense manufacturing capabilities in response to modern conflicts. Among the most pressing issues are bureaucratic delays. Many governments and defense firms face lengthy approval processes for contracts and export licenses, creating bottlenecks in the supply chain. Additionally, fragmented policies among European Union member states complicate coordinated efforts, further delaying critical deliveries.
Supply chain disruptions remain another major hurdle. The global shortage of key raw materials, such as steel, aluminum, and rare-earth elements, has been exacerbated by the war in Ukraine. Countries relying on imported components, including explosives and propellants, find themselves vulnerable to international trade instability, which has driven up costs and limited access to necessary resources.
The absence of long-term contracts between governments and defense manufacturers further undermines efforts to scale up production. Manufacturers need multi-year agreements to justify investments in new facilities or technologies, but uncertainty surrounding the conflict's duration has made governments hesitant to commit. This short-term focus hinders the development of sustainable production capabilities.